POSTED 10-21-07

You've sat through countless Frank TV ads and resisted the urge to destroy your television with each passing Dane Cook promo to get to this point. Now only two teams remain. The Colorado Rockies, winners of 21 of their last 22 games, have shocked the world with their first ever NL pennant.

The Boston Red Sox staged a miraculous comeback against a very strong Cleveland Indians team and are heading into the last stage of the post-season with a full steam of gas. With so much to dissect here, UPDATE! has a position-by-position breakdown of this season's World Series match-up:

CATCHER
THE SKINNY: Colorado Rockies back-stop Yorvit Torrealba is not a household name by any stretch of the imagination. In fact, before playing in 113 regular season games this past year, his most appearances in a single season was a measly 76. But when the Rockies found rookie Chris Iannetta ill suited to handle the bulk of catching duties, Torrealba went from back-up to starter. His defense was impressive this year but he hit just .255 with 8 HR, 47 RBI and 47 R. For whatever reason, he switched gears during the post-season. Through the first two rounds of the playoffs, Torrealba has hit .320 with 1 HR, 7 RBI and 5 R (including a go-ahead shot in Game 3 of the NLCS). Red Sox catcher Jason Varitek, on the other hand, is hitting just .249 so far in the playoffs. He did, however, hit .500 against the Rockies this season in inter-league play during a three game series. Ultimately, the box score fails to capture what Varitek brings to the Red Sox clubhouse as the leader of this ball club — he is capable of providing a big hit when his team needs one most. And his poise behind the plate remains unwavering (so long as he's not catching Tim Wakefield's knuckle-ball). When you consider the post-season experience that Varitek brings to the table, Boston has to have the advantage when it comes to the catcher position.
EDGE: Varitek

FIRST BASE
THE SKINNY: Kevin Youkilis has developed into something of cult hero in Beantown. His ability to get on base constantly, coupled with his remarkable defense at first, has made him a valuable tool for the Red Sox. He put together the best regular season of his career offensively, hitting .288 with 16 HR, 83 RBI, 85 R and 4 SB. Despite all these positives for the Greek God of Walks, you have to imagine that DH David Ortiz is bound start at first when Boston plays at Coors Field. Ortiz is one of the premier hitters in the game, especially in the clutch. But on the field, his defense is a major liability. The same can't be said of long-time Rockies first-baseman Todd Helton. The three-time Gold Glove winner and four-time All-Star paid his dues as a member of countless awful Rockies teams and now has the opportunity to win a World Series with the only team he's ever played for. Helton had a fine regular season with a .320 average, 17 HR, 91 RBI and 86 R. But playing in his first-ever post-season has been a challenge. Helton has struggled at the plate, hitting just .154. Still, even with his playoff woes, Helton's leadership, top-notch defense and ability to get on base make him a better overall option than the combination of Youkilis and Ortiz.
EDGE: Helton

SECOND BASE
THE SKINNY As a member of the New York Mets, Rockies 2B Kaz Matsui was derided as a useless, poor hitting infielder — booed mercilessly by desperate Mets fans. But he has flourished in Colorado, hitting .288 with 4 HR, 37 RBI, 84 R and 32 SB in just 104 regular season games. His glove work at second has been tremendous and he is a catalyst at the top of the Rockies lineup thanks to his speed on the base-paths. On top of all that, he's been great in the post-season, batting .310 with 1 HR, 8 RBI, 4 R and 1 SB in 7 games. Red Sox 2B Dustin Pedroia provided quality rookie numbers for Boston in the regular season with a .317 AVG, 8 HR, 50 RBI, 86 R and 7 SB in 139 games while showing proficiency in the field. His post-season has been relatively productive as well; he has batted .286 with 1 HR, 6 RBI and 10 R in 10 games. That being said, while Red Sox fans may be a big fan of Pedroia's moxie, even they would be hard-pressed to take him over Matsui in this best of seven series.
EDGE: Matsui

SHORTSTOP
THE SKINNY: If some guy named Ryan Braun didn't exist, Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki would be making room in his trophy case for the NL Rookie of the Year award. Regardless, he has enjoyed a fantastic rookie campaign, batting .291 with 24 HR, 99 RBI, 104 R and 7 SB in 155 regular season games. His glove-work in the field has been solid and he provided many a clutch hit throughout the year. It's a real shame how much he's struggled in the playoffs, batting just .179 thus far. But remember, this kid is still 21-years old; the pressure of the post-season could very well be wearing down on him. One player who is also familiar with playoff struggles is Red Sox SS Julio Lugo. He's managed to hit just .229 so far this post-season, but that should not come as a surprise. He was just awful in his first regular season with Boston, sporting a .237 average and being among the AL leaders in outs. When you couple that with his sub-par defense, Lugo makes for a less desirable player than Tulowitzki despite the 10-year age difference and large gap in experience.
EDGE: Tulowitzki

THIRD BASE
THE SKINNY: Colorado Rockies 3B Garrett Atkins recovered from a rough first-half of the season to finish with 25 HR, 111 RBI, 83 R and 3 SB while hitting .301. He holds the third-base position well defensively and was on fire heading into the playoffs, hitting just under .400 in the month of September. However, in the post-season Atkins has been struggling. He is batting just .185 with only one RBI, not characteristic of a man who has been counted on to drive in runs for this Colorado offense. His third base counterpart in Boston, Mike Lowell, has been a revelation at the corner infield spot for Boston. A throw-in in the Josh Beckett trade before the 2006 season, Lowell has been a valuable piece of the Red Sox puzzle. During the regular season, he hit .324 with 21 HR, 120 RBI and 79 R. With him in the lineup, the Red Sox are able to provide protection to slugger Manny Ramirez and with Lowell in the field, Boston has a Gold Glove caliber player manning hot corner. This is a guy who has won it all before (with the Florida Marlins in 2003) and his experience in these situations is vital.
EDGE: Lowell

OUTFIELD
THE SKINNY: Colorado's outfield consists of a potential league MVP (Matt Holliday), a power bat (Brad Hawpe) and a speed-demon (Willy Taveras). That trio of players combined to hit .318 with 67 HR, 277 RBI, 264 R and 44 SB in 1,524 at-bats. That's a lot of offense, but they have also been playing great defense, allowing just 13 errors between them during the regular season. In the playoffs, they have hit .259 combined, though they still produced 4 HR, 10 RBI and 11 R in the seven post-season games they've played. Boston will counter with Manny Ramirez, Coco Crisp and J.D. Drew, who all struggled during the 2007 regular season. None of these players were able to score more than 85 R, 88 RBI or 20 HR in the 162-game campaign, combining for a .278 average. Crisp did have a strong defensive season, however, committing just one error, and while Manny is not known for his defense he has learned to play the Green Monster remarkably well during his tenure in Boston. In the post-season, Ramirez and Drew have been fantastic, hitting .348 with 5 HR, 23 RBI and 14 R combined in 10 playoff games. Crisp, on the other hand, has struggled mightily in October, managing just a .143 average with two runs scored. He hinders their outfield offensively and with Colorado's balance of speed, power, consistent hitting and defense, the Rockies get a slight advantage here.
EDGE: Rockies

STARTING PITCHING
THE SKINNY: The Rockies pitching staff quietly became one of the best, statistically, in all of baseball following the All-Star break. Led by 17-game winner Jeff Francis, they feature veteran right-hander Josh Fogg and a pair of rookies in Ubaldo Jimenez and Franklin Morales. Francis won both of his post-season starts this year while posting a 2.13 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Fogg made two appearances in the Rockies run to the World Series, starting one game and getting two wins while giving up just one earned run in eight innings. Jimenez and Morales are two of the best young arms in baseball but may feel overwhelmed against the Red Sox with their relative inexperience in big spots. Boston sports a ton of big names in their starting rotation. With Josh Beckett at their disposal, the Red Sox have a front-running AL Cy Young candidate who also happens to be money in the post-season. He is followed by Curt Schilling (a two-time World Series champion), Daisuke Matsuzaka (the import who has a history of shining in pressure-packed scenarios for his native Japan) and Tim Wakefield (the knuckle-baller who helped Boston win a World Series in 2004). While Colorado's pitching is underrated heading into this series, the Red Sox have too much talent in their rotation for the Rockies to match.
EDGE: Boston

BULLPEN
THE SKINNY: In closer Jonathan Papelbon and set-up man Hideki Okajima, Boston has two of the best relievers in baseball. Eric Gange has been a disaster for the Red Sox since coming over in a trade from Texas, so don't expect to see him out there in a big spot. Mike Timlin may be 41-years old, but he has been great in this post-season for Boston, throwing 3.1 innings without giving up a run. Manny Delcarmen and Javier Lopez enjoyed a nice regular season for the Red Sox but have been rather ineffective in the playoffs, giving up seven earned runs in 5.1 IP. For Colorado, they have a talented one-two punch in the back of their bullpen between closer Manny Corpas and set-up man (and former closer) Brian Fuentes. LaTroy Hawkins and Matt Herges are both having a career renaissance in the Rockies bullpen as the two have combined for 6.2 innings of shut-out ball thus far in the post-season. Heck, even Jeremy Affeldt and Ryan Speier have been remarkable for Colorado during their incredible run. This tremendous amount of bullpen depth that Colorado has at their disposal could be the difference maker in this series, because even though the Papelbon-Okajima duo is more impressive than the Corpas-Fuentes combo, Boston will have a lot more question marks on the mound should the Colorado offense chase a pitcher or two out of the game.
EDGE: Colorado

THE FINAL SCORE
For those of you keeping score, Colorado, surprisingly, has a 5-3 position lead in UPDATE!'s edge analysis. The Rockies would also have the nod over the Red Sox in team defense as Colorado was tops in all of baseball. When one looks at all this and remembers how well the Rockies played Boston at Fenway in June of this season (en route to a 2-1 series win), it does not take a giant leap of faith to imagine the Colorado Rockies improbably going from MLB basement dwellers to World Series champions in 2007. Final UPDATE! prediction? Colorado in six.

Starbonell is UPDATE! Major League Baseball Editor.



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