HOT 20
1. ALFONSO SORIANO
Chicago CubsComment: It's hard to improve on a .277 average with 46 home runs, 95 RBI, 119 runs and 41 steals. The steals were a career high. I see steals dropping to 30-35 this year, but expect the average and RBI totals to be even better. He'll have ample protection and RBI opportunities.
2. CARL CRAWFORD
Tampa Bay Devil RaysComment: He has improved every year and he'll do it again this year. A rare blend of power and speed. Look for .303/26/86 and 54 steals this season. Watch out — this time next year he may be No. 1 on this list.
3. LANCE BERKMAN
Houston AstrosComment: I always have him higher than most. I've never seen a guy reach superstardom in such a low-key manor. Don't make the mistake of dropping him below Beltran or Guerrero. Added value: He's also a play at first base.
4. CARLOS BELTRAN
New York MetsComment: His numbers dropped in second half last season, from .279/25/68 with 12 steals to .269/16/48 with 6 steals. He is worthy of fourth (or higher). But beware: Beltran has disappointed before. This is a guy who took a called strike three to end the NLCS.
5. VLADIMIR GUERRERO
Los Angeles AngelsComment: He may be this year's baseball version of LaDanian Tomlinson. I mean most people took L.J. or Alexander first, thinking L.T. had fallen. Most are doing the same with Vlad this spring. He has dropped out of the familiar top three in almost all rankings. But he is only 31, and has averaged .327 AVG, 34 HR, 116 RBI, 12 SB over the past three seasons.
6. CARLOS LEE
Houston AstrosComment: He has relocated to one of the best hitters' parks anywhere. At age 30, there is no reason to think he can't match last year's numbers: .300 AVG, 37 HR, 116 RBI, 19 SB.
7. VERNON WELLS
Toronto Blue JaysComment: His numbers have improved across the board over the last three years. Like Soriano and Lee, he gives you surprising speed with his power and hit for a higher average than both last year.
8. GRADY SIZEMORE
Cleveland IndiansComment: Love his last name! His numbers say he may not be worthy of this high a rating: .290 AVG, 28 HR, 76 RBI, 22 SB. But he is only 24 and we don't know were he'll top out at yet.
9. JASON BAY
Pittsburgh PiratesComment: Stolen bases dropped from 21 to 11 last year, therefore his value dropped somewhat. Expect .296 AVG, 36 HR, 106 RBI, 12 SB.
10. MATT HOLLIDAY
Colorado RockiesComment: Holliday posted elite numbers: .326 AVG, 34 HR, 114 RBI, 10 SB. Move him up if you are a believer. Expect the steals to go down again but the power numbers to remain. One more year! I need to see him one more year and then I'll move him up.
11. BOBBY ABREU
New York YankeesComment: Like Guerrero, I think Abreu rebound. The adjustment period to a new team and league is over. Abreu should thrive in the Yankees' loaded lineup. He should return to Top 10 status by year's end.
12. MANNY RAMIREZ
Boston Red SoxComment: He missed 32 games and still hit .321 with 35 homers and 102 RBI. Look for an improvement this year to .316/39/126. Manny will be a good value this season.
13. ICHIRO SUZUKI
Seattle MarinersComment: His home runs and RBI were down, but batting average and steals rose. Suzuki is 33 and you'll be OK if you don't expect improved numbers.
14. JUAN PIERRE
Los Angeles DodgersComment: He has slipped in some owners eyes. Don't be one of them. He can dominate a category that may be the hardest to get. He's swiped 215 bases over the last 4 years.
15. ANDRUW JONES
Atlanta BravesComment: Jones is consistent. He slammed 20 home runs before the Break and 21 after. Expect about the same this season: .262 AVG, 41 HR, 129 RBI. Move him up if you believe in a walk-year surge.
16. CHONE FIGGINS
Los Angeles AngelsComment: No longer eligible at middle infielder de-value's him some. But he is the AL version of Juan Pierre. Figgins, 29, owns 114 steals in the past two seasons. He'll still see action at third base.
17. JERMAINE DYE
Chicago White SoxComment: The reluctant owner (myself included) has refused to draft Dye on the belief, "This will be the year he breaks down." He has been wonderfully consistent over the last three seasons. Yet he'll be hard-pressed to repeat last year's numbers: .315 AVG, 44 HR, 120 RBI.
18. COREY PATTERSON
Baltimore OriolesComment: His numbers after the Break dropped to .274 AVG, 6 HR, 18 RBI, 14 SB compared to .287/10/35/31 in the first half. He should be fine. He's a good power-speed option in the middle rounds, especially if you need steals.
19. ADAM DUNN
Cincinnati RedsComment: If you draft Joe Mauer at catcher (.347), then grab Dunn. Only then could you handle the .234 batting average. Think Rob Deer or Dave Kingman. That's because his 126 homers over the past three seasons are the third most in baseball.
20. TORII HUNTER
Minnesota TwinsComment: Hunter posted nice numbers a year ago: .278 AVG, 31 HR, 98 RBI, 12 SB. He was much better in the second half with a .298 average and 17 homers. Expect that to continue. And if you believe he will get off to a hot start, then move him up.








