HOT 20
1. LEBRON JAMES
Cleveland CavaliersComment: We have all been witness to the amazing impact James has made on the league in his first three years and, still, no one has more upside. He is coming off a year in which he averaged 27.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 6.0 assists per game along with over 1.6 steals, 1.3 threes, and .7 blocks a game. These are freaky stats and the freakiest thing is he will probably only get continue to get better this year. No one in the league can provide comparable stats in every important fantasy category while having the cajones to wear a Yankees hat in Cleveland. He's a hands down No. 1 pick.
2. SHAWN MARION
Phoenix Suns
Comment: Marion has consistently been a solid across the board for a number of years now and there's no reason to expect slippage any time soon. Marion is in the perfect situation in the potent fast breaking Phoenix offense, and the rumors and trade demands we heard earlier in the summer seem to have died down which should result in the usual fantasy explosion in the valley of the sun. Amare Stoudemire's well-known knee problems could also pop up again; any time on the shelf for Amare would only lead to more opportunities and stats for #31.
3. JOSH SMITH
Atlanta Hawks
Comment: Smith doesn't get the mainstream attention that he deserves thanks to being stuck in the abyss of a pathetic Hawks team. But he is definitely worthy of significant fantasy attention. Smith will provide solid stats with around 16-18 points and close to double digit boards every night but his main value comes from the "hustle stats". No other small forward can come close to his combination of 2.9 blocks and 1.4 steals a game from last year. The guy blocked 207 shots last year with the next closest small forward (Andrei Kirilenko) at 144. He's gotten better statistically in each of his three NBA seasons and is a lock to get at least 2.5 blocks a game this season.
4. GERALD WALLACE
Charlotte Bobcats
Comment: Much like Josh Smith, Wallace doesn't get the hype he deserves playing in the small market Charlotte. Wallace might be the most underrated player in the league and will surely continue to pack the box scores this season with at least a block, two steals and a steady stream of three-pointers. Being teamed up with Jason Richardson and a healthy Emeka Okafor should lead to a breakout season for both Wallace and the Bobcats. The only downside that is that his breakneck style of play often makes him an injury risk. He won't play all 82 games but the ones he does will produce big time numbers.
5. PAUL PIERCE
Boston Celtics
Comment: The prevailing opinion seems to be that the addition of Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen to the Celtics will result in falling fantasy value for Pierce, but this couldn't be further from the truth. Sure, his points will likely fall off but an average of 20-22 can still be expected with increases in FG%, and assists. For the first time in years defenses will not be able to simply attempt to lock down Pierce and this new found freedom should result in continuing fantasy success for all his owners.
6. CARMELO ANTHONY
Denver Nuggets Comment: Anthony and Allen Iverson are a fantasy match made in heaven. Both should flourish in their first full season together and 'Melo should once again average close to 30 points a game while providing solid statistical production across the board. He'll also help out in free throw percentage, which is all too often overlooked by many team owners. Anthony is one of the few forwards who gets to the line consistently enough to make a significant positive impact on the category. He has improved in each of his seasons in the league and after a dominating run with Team USA in the off-season seems to be in the best shape of his career, which should lead to a top tier fantasy season.
7. RASHARD LEWIS
Orlando Magic
Comment: Lewis put up spectacular numbers while stuck in the Pacific Northwest playing for the lackluster Sonics. A fresh start and huge contract in Orlando should lead to more exposure and the usual top-flight stats. For the first time in his career Lewis will have a dominant big man in Dwight Howard to play off and should continue to pile up over 20 points, 2.5 threes and solid percentages. Coming off a career year last season with the Sonics there will probably be some falloff after securing his gigantic $118 million dollar free agent deal, but that is not the most worrisome thing about Lewis. Based on stats alone he is probably a Top 5 small forward, but he is a big time injury risk. He hasn’t played 82 games since 1999 and he won’t break that streak this year. He has big time upside but understand the injury risk looms.
8. CARON BUTLER
Washington Wizards
Comment: Butler was on his way to a breakout season last year averaging 19.1 points, 7.4 boards, 3.7 assists, and 2.1 steals while shooting 46.3 percent from the field and 86.3 percent from the line through 63 games. Teamed up with Gilbert Arenas and Antwain Jamison in the national capital, these stats should continue upwards in a healthy full season. While not the flashiest or eye popping when taken as a whole, his solid combination of stats across the board are hard to come by, and it's very possible you could steal Butler in the 3rd round while other players sleep on him.
9. ANDRE IGUOLADA
Philadelphia 76ers Comment: A lot of so called fantasy "experts" seem to be extremely high on Iguolada heading in to the season but don't buy into the hype. 18 points, five boards and five assists are nothing to sneeze at but don't go too crazy and take him early. He's a nice fantasy option but he's got a lot more to prove before he breaks into the true elite.
10. JOSH HOWARD
Dallas Mavericks Comment: Howard is coming off a breakout All Star season, but that will seem insignificant in comparison to the numbers he puts up this year. There really is no weakness in his game as he contributes favorably in every fantasy category. One of the few players with the potential to provide a steal and a block a game while also shooting excellent percentages, averaging around 20 points and 8 boards a game. Even these predictions may be on the low side for Howard, whose amazing athleticism has yet to be fully tapped. This will probably be the last season you'll be able to grab Howard outside of the first round.
11. LUOL DENG
Chicago Bulls Comment: Deng is the exactly the kind of player you want to have on your fantasy team. He contributes in every category and has shown vast improvement in each of his first three seasons in the league. His scoring average has increased from 11.7 to 14.3 to 18.8 ppg last season while shooting over 50 percent from the field and adding in 7.1 rebounds a game. There is no reason why those numbers shouldn't continue to increase as Deng and is constantly thriving to improve. Any time around the fourth or fifth round Deng will be a huge value.
12. RON ARTEST
Sacramento KingsComment: Artest is hard to predict as a NBA player in reality or in fantasy mainly because he seems to spend most of his time in an unknown zone between the two. Of course when he is healthy (physically and mentally) he will provide great steals, boards and respectable point totals, but who knows what he will do or when he will ask to be traded next. If he had his head on straight he'd easily be ranked higher but by now everyone from Detroit to Tokyo knows he is a big question mark. Artest is the epitome of a risk/reward guy. If you feel like his injury/attitude concerns are worth the risk he could be a huge payoff during the middle rounds of your draft but you are playing with fire. Most times you are going to get burned.
13. KEVIN DURANT
Seattle Supersonics
Comment: With Greg Oden out for the year with a knee injury Durant now has no competition to be the rookie de' jour this season. His upside is amazing and Durant will probably have a nice rookie season. He'll surely get the playing time to prove why he is the future of the Sonics organization; just don't get too caught up in the hype. There is no way he can live up to the expectations heaped upon his scrawny shoulders this early in his career. He will be a nice fantasy option at either SG or SF but he is not an early round lock. I've seen Durant go as high as the second round and that is absurd. If he falls into the middle rounds of the draft and you haven't be able to land any of the above 12 then take a flyer — just don't expect the second coming of Jordan on week one.
14. ANDRE KIRILENKO
Utah Jazz
Comment: Oh, how the mighty have fallen. The one time first/second round pick and man-crush of most all fantasy basketball players had a horrific season. However he is not as bad as last season's stats have led him to fall in the eyes of many, and he could be a steal in the later rounds of your draft. AK-47 still put up respectable numbers last season, but the fact is he just does not fit well in Utah's system alongside Okur, Boozer, Williams and the rest of the Jazz. The sensitive Russian has asked to be traded, which would be a great boost for Kirilenko's fantasy value. In a more spread out offensive scheme we could see the fantasy powerhouse of old.
15. MIKE MILLER
Memphis Grizzlies
Comment: A great source of threes but outside of that you pretty much know what you are going to get with Miller: around 15 points, five rebounds, three assists, and nice percentages. He won't win you any leagues but he is a nice glue guy to have on your squad. Playing with Team USA this past summer in the Olympic qualifying tournament seemed to energize Miller and having a healthy Pau Gasol back in Memphis shouldn't hurt him too much.
16. COREY MAGGETTE
Los Angeles Clippers Comment: He's been a bit of a disappointment these last few seasons but this could be a big year for Maggette. He'll have no choice but to up his productivity in the scoring and rebounding areas with Elton Brand out for most of the year with a devastating hamstring injury. The Clippers are coming off a very disappointing season and if that's not enough of an incentive Maggette is also playing for a new contract. Injuries are always a problem though so tread carefully when thinking about where to take the oft-maligned Clipper. If he's floating around in the seventh or eighth round of a 10 team draft then you could have a big time addition for a small time price.
17. RUDY GAY
Memphis GrizzliesComment: Rudy had a nice rookie season while not receving that much playing time for the Grizzlies. The potential to average one steal, block and three-pointer a game is a rare find in the league and one that cannot be passed up. Given the increased burn that Gay is expected to earn this season there is a chance that he could develop into a Shawn Marion-type across the board producer.
18. DANNY GRANGER
Indiana Pacers
Comment: Like Rudy Gay, Granger has the ability to join the elite one block, one steal, one trey group. The potential is there and this is the year that Granger will finally gets the minutes to live up to the expectations placed upon him. There won't be much else positive in Indiana this season, but Granger should be a solid contributor across the board.
19. STEPHEN JACKSON
Golden State Warriors
Comment: Once he got traded to Golden State last year Jackson excelled while averaging 16.8 points, 4.6 assists, 1.3 steals, and 1.6 3-pointers a game. He seems like a perfect fit in the wide open system employed by Don Nelson, and if he stays on the court then those numbers may even increase with a full season by the bay. However as the fiasco in Detroit and recent headlines proved, Jackson is no stranger to controversy.
20. TAYSHAUN PRINCE
Detroit Pistons
Comment: Prince is a great fit in the Detroit system and on any fantasy team. He won't win you a title alone but he is the type of guy that you want to have. He'll get 3s, points, blocks, and steals with low turnovers while always being healthy. Tayshaun hasn't missed a game since 2002 and you shouldn't miss the chance to add him to your squad.
Brian McCue is UPDATE! National Basketball Assocation contributing Editor.



